SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Eindhoven win with a probability of 47.94%. A win for Jong AZ had a probability of 29.32% and a draw had a probability of 22.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Eindhoven win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.26%) and 0-2 (6.66%). The likeliest Jong AZ win was 2-1 (7.06%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.12%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Jong AZ | Draw | FC Eindhoven |
| 29.32% | 22.73% | 47.94% |
| Both teams to score 63.2% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 62.62% | 37.38% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 40.4% | 59.59% |
| Jong AZ Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.2% | 24.8% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 40.62% | 59.38% |
| FC Eindhoven Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.04% | 15.96% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 54.75% | 45.24% |
| Score Analysis |
| Jong AZ | Draw | FC Eindhoven |
| 2-1 @ 7.06% 1-0 @ 5.52% 2-0 @ 3.85% 3-1 @ 3.28% 3-2 @ 3.01% 3-0 @ 1.79% 4-1 @ 1.14% 4-2 @ 1.05% Other @ 2.62% Total : 29.32% | 1-1 @ 10.12% 2-2 @ 6.48% 0-0 @ 3.96% 3-3 @ 1.84% Other @ 0.33% Total : 22.73% | 1-2 @ 9.29% 0-1 @ 7.26% 0-2 @ 6.66% 1-3 @ 5.69% 0-3 @ 4.08% 2-3 @ 3.96% 1-4 @ 2.61% 0-4 @ 1.87% 2-4 @ 1.82% 1-5 @ 0.96% Other @ 3.75% Total : 47.94% |
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