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Eerste Divisie | Gameweek 20
Jan 15, 2021 at 8pm UK
AFAS Stadion

Jong AZ
2 - 5
Almere City

Duin (37'), Kunst (90+2')
Franken (31')
FT(HT: 1-4)
Helstrup (9'), Verheydt (22'), Mirani (35'), Kaandorp (41'), Bouyaghlafen (72')
van Vlerken (84')
Coverage of the Eerste Divisie clash between Jong AZ and Almere City.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Almere City win with a probability of 45.59%. A win for Jong AZ had a probability of 33.22% and a draw had a probability of 21.2%.

The most likely scoreline for an Almere City win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (5.65%) and 2-3 (4.87%). The likeliest Jong AZ win was 2-1 (7.05%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.18%). The actual scoreline of 2-5 was predicted with a 1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Almere City would win this match.

Result
Jong AZDrawAlmere City
33.22%21.18%45.59%
Both teams to score 71.41%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
72.42%27.57%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
51.79%48.21%
Jong AZ Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.14%17.85%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.38%48.62%
Almere City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.93%13.06%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
60.34%39.65%
Score Analysis
    Jong AZ 33.22%
    Almere City 45.59%
    Draw 21.18%
Jong AZDrawAlmere City
2-1 @ 7.05%
3-2 @ 4.12%
3-1 @ 4.05%
1-0 @ 4.02%
2-0 @ 3.46%
3-0 @ 1.99%
4-2 @ 1.77%
4-1 @ 1.74%
4-3 @ 1.2%
Other @ 3.82%
Total : 33.22%
1-1 @ 8.18%
2-2 @ 7.17%
3-3 @ 2.79%
0-0 @ 2.33%
Other @ 0.71%
Total : 21.18%
1-2 @ 8.32%
1-3 @ 5.65%
2-3 @ 4.87%
0-2 @ 4.83%
0-1 @ 4.75%
0-3 @ 3.28%
1-4 @ 2.87%
2-4 @ 2.48%
0-4 @ 1.67%
3-4 @ 1.42%
1-5 @ 1.17%
2-5 @ 1.01%
Other @ 3.28%
Total : 45.59%

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