Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Telstar win with a probability of 49.75%. A win for Jong AZ had a probability of 27.95% and a draw had a probability of 22.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Telstar win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.11%) and 2-0 (6.78%). The likeliest Jong AZ win was 1-2 (6.8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.84%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood.
