Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a SBV Excelsior win with a probability of 42.22%. A win for FC Eindhoven had a probability of 33.41% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a SBV Excelsior win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.2%) and 2-0 (6.47%). The likeliest FC Eindhoven win was 1-2 (7.8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.31%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that SBV Excelsior would win this match.
