Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cambuur win with a probability of 68.22%. A draw had a probability of 17.5% and a win for Jong FC Utrecht had a probability of 14.28%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cambuur win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.24%) and 1-3 (7.76%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.83%), while for a Jong FC Utrecht win it was 2-1 (4.05%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cambuur would win this match.