Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Jong Ajax win with a probability of 49.51%. A win for Jong FC Utrecht had a probability of 28.91% and a draw had a probability of 21.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Jong Ajax win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (6.06%) and 0-2 (6.04%). The likeliest Jong FC Utrecht win was 2-1 (6.77%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.03%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Jong Ajax in this match.