Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Telstar win with a probability of 43.74%. A win for MVV Maastricht had a probability of 32.47% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Telstar win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.75%) and 0-2 (6.44%). The likeliest MVV Maastricht win was 2-1 (7.63%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.87%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood.