Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a NAC Breda win with a probability of 47.96%. A win for Almere City had a probability of 30.3% and a draw had a probability of 21.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a NAC Breda win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (5.88%) and 1-0 (5.88%). The likeliest Almere City win was 1-2 (6.97%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.05%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that NAC Breda would win this match.
