Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a NAC Breda win with a probability of 50.44%. A win for FC Eindhoven had a probability of 26.08% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a NAC Breda win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.14%) and 2-0 (8.03%). The likeliest FC Eindhoven win was 1-2 (6.58%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.96%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for NAC Breda in this match.
