Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a De Graafschap win with a probability of 55.77%. A win for TOP Oss had a probability of 22.56% and a draw had a probability of 21.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a De Graafschap win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.3%) and 0-2 (8.23%). The likeliest TOP Oss win was 2-1 (5.88%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.88%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that De Graafschap would win this match.