De Graafschap
3 - 1
SBV Excelsior

Van Heertum (54'), Konings (67'), Lieftink (77')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Azarkan (57')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Match Stats

Player Stats

Coverage of the Eerste Divisie clash between De Graafschap and SBV Excelsior.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a De Graafschap win with a probability of 48.02%. A win for SBV Excelsior had a probability of 27.99% and a draw had a probability of 24%.

The most likely scoreline for a De Graafschap win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.1%) and 2-0 (7.68%). The likeliest SBV Excelsior win was 1-2 (6.92%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.22%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that De Graafschap would win this match.

Result
De Graafschap	Draw	SBV Excelsior
48.02%	23.99%	27.99%

Both teams to score 57.73%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

55.84%

44.16%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

33.46%

66.54%

De Graafschap Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.48%

18.53%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

50.25%

49.76%

SBV Excelsior Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.86%

29.15%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.92%

65.08%

Score Analysis

De Graafschap 48.02%

SBV Excelsior 28%

Draw 23.99%

De Graafschap	Draw	SBV Excelsior
2-1 @ 9.46% 1-0 @ 9.1% 2-0 @ 7.68% 3-1 @ 5.32% 3-0 @ 4.31% 3-2 @ 3.28% 4-1 @ 2.24% 4-0 @ 1.82% 4-2 @ 1.38% Other @ 3.42% Total : 48.02%	1-1 @ 11.22% 2-2 @ 5.83% 0-0 @ 5.4% 3-3 @ 1.35% Other @ 0.19% Total : 23.99%	1-2 @ 6.92% 0-1 @ 6.66% 0-2 @ 4.1% 1-3 @ 2.84% 2-3 @ 2.4% 0-3 @ 1.69% Other @ 3.39% Total : 28%