Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a TOP Oss win with a probability of 42.18%. A win for Jong AZ had a probability of 32.59% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a TOP Oss win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.91%) and 2-0 (6.94%). The likeliest Jong AZ win was 0-1 (7.97%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.91%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for TOP Oss in this match.