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Eerste Divisie | Gameweek 18
Dec 6, 2021 at 7pm UK
AFAS Stadion
E

Jong AZ
0 - 2
SBV Excelsior


Buurmeester (65'), Taabouni (66')
Taabouni (84')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Azarkan (80'), Dallinga (90+1')
Azarkan (45')
Coverage of the Eerste Divisie clash between Jong AZ and SBV Excelsior.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a SBV Excelsior win with a probability of 45.37%. A win for Jong AZ had a probability of 31.53% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a SBV Excelsior win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.17%) and 0-2 (6.33%). The likeliest Jong AZ win was 2-1 (7.42%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.31%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that SBV Excelsior would win this match.

Result
Jong AZDrawSBV Excelsior
31.53%23.1%45.37%
Both teams to score 63.2%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
62.06%37.94%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
39.8%60.2%
Jong AZ Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.27%23.73%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.14%57.86%
SBV Excelsior Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.86%17.14%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.63%47.37%
Score Analysis
    Jong AZ 31.53%
    SBV Excelsior 45.37%
    Draw 23.09%
Jong AZDrawSBV Excelsior
2-1 @ 7.42%
1-0 @ 5.85%
2-0 @ 4.21%
3-1 @ 3.56%
3-2 @ 3.14%
3-0 @ 2.02%
4-1 @ 1.28%
4-2 @ 1.13%
Other @ 2.93%
Total : 31.53%
1-1 @ 10.31%
2-2 @ 6.55%
0-0 @ 4.07%
3-3 @ 1.85%
Other @ 0.33%
Total : 23.09%
1-2 @ 9.1%
0-1 @ 7.17%
0-2 @ 6.33%
1-3 @ 5.35%
2-3 @ 3.85%
0-3 @ 3.72%
1-4 @ 2.36%
2-4 @ 1.7%
0-4 @ 1.64%
Other @ 4.16%
Total : 45.37%

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