Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a VVV-Venlo win with a probability of 51.04%. A win for TOP Oss had a probability of 24.51% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a VVV-Venlo win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.6%) and 2-0 (9%). The likeliest TOP Oss win was 0-1 (7.04%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.62%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood.
