Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a TOP Oss win with a probability of 49.06%. A win for Jong FC Utrecht had a probability of 27% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a TOP Oss win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.35%) and 2-0 (7.95%). The likeliest Jong FC Utrecht win was 1-2 (6.74%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.22%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that TOP Oss would win this match.
