Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Eindhoven win with a probability of 52.63%. A win for Jong FC Utrecht had a probability of 24.33% and a draw had a probability of 23%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Eindhoven win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.27%) and 2-0 (8.4%). The likeliest Jong FC Utrecht win was 1-2 (6.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.75%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that FC Eindhoven would win this match.
