Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a SBV Excelsior win with a probability of 51.37%. A win for Jong FC Utrecht had a probability of 26.13% and a draw had a probability of 22.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a SBV Excelsior win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.92%) and 0-2 (7.45%). The likeliest Jong FC Utrecht win was 2-1 (6.55%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.18%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that SBV Excelsior would win this match.