Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PEC Zwolle win with a probability of 78.77%. A draw had a probability of 13.6% and a win for TOP Oss had a probability of 7.62%.
The most likely scoreline for a PEC Zwolle win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (10.62%) and 1-0 (8.8%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.42%), while for a TOP Oss win it was 0-1 (2.38%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that PEC Zwolle would win this match.
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