Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PEC Zwolle win with a probability of 56.64%. A win for VVV-Venlo had a probability of 22.34% and a draw had a probability of 21%.

The most likely scoreline for a PEC Zwolle win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.83%) and 1-0 (7.55%). The likeliest VVV-Venlo win was 1-2 (5.79%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.35%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that PEC Zwolle would win this match.

Result
PEC Zwolle	Draw	VVV-Venlo
56.64% ( 0.04)	21.02% ( -0.04)	22.34% ( -0)

Both teams to score 62.11% (

0.15)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

64.34% (

0.19)

35.66% (

-0.19)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

42.28% (

0.21)

57.72% (

-0.21)

PEC Zwolle Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

87.45% (

0.07)

12.55% (

-0.07)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

61.4% (

0.16)

38.6% (

-0.15)

VVV-Venlo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.03% (

0.11)

28.97% (

-0.11)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.14% (

0.14)

64.86% (

-0.13)

Score Analysis

PEC Zwolle 56.64%

VVV-Venlo 22.34%

Draw 21.02%

PEC Zwolle	Draw	VVV-Venlo
2-1 @ 9.7% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 7.83% ( -0.03) 1-0 @ 7.55% ( -0.05) 3-1 @ 6.71% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 5.42% ( -0) 3-2 @ 4.16% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 3.48% ( 0.02) 4-0 @ 2.81% ( 0) 4-2 @ 2.16% ( 0.02) 5-1 @ 1.45% ( 0.01) 5-0 @ 1.17% ( 0.01) Other @ 4.21% Total : 56.64%	1-1 @ 9.35% ( -0.04) 2-2 @ 6.01% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 3.64% ( -0.03) 3-3 @ 1.72% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.31% Total : 21.02%	1-2 @ 5.79% ( -0) 0-1 @ 4.51% ( -0.03) 0-2 @ 2.79% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 2.48% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 2.39% ( 0) 0-3 @ 1.15% ( -0) Other @ 3.23% Total : 22.34%