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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PEC Zwolle win with a probability of 56.64%. A win for VVV-Venlo had a probability of 22.34% and a draw had a probability of 21%.
The most likely scoreline for a PEC Zwolle win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.83%) and 1-0 (7.55%). The likeliest VVV-Venlo win was 1-2 (5.79%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.35%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that PEC Zwolle would win this match.
| Result | ||
| PEC Zwolle | Draw | VVV-Venlo |
56.64% ( 0.04) | 21.02% ( -0.04) | 22.34% ( -0) |
| Both teams to score 62.11% ( 0.15) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 64.34% ( 0.19) | 35.66% ( -0.19) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 42.28% ( 0.21) | 57.72% ( -0.21) |
| PEC Zwolle Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.45% ( 0.07) | 12.55% ( -0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 61.4% ( 0.16) | 38.6% ( -0.15) |
| VVV-Venlo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.03% ( 0.11) | 28.97% ( -0.11) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.14% ( 0.14) | 64.86% ( -0.13) |
| Score Analysis |
| PEC Zwolle | Draw | VVV-Venlo |
| 2-1 @ 9.7% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 7.83% ( -0.03)1-0 @ 7.55% ( -0.05)3-1 @ 6.71% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 5.42% ( -0)3-2 @ 4.16% ( 0.02)4-1 @ 3.48% ( 0.02)4-0 @ 2.81% ( 0)4-2 @ 2.16% ( 0.02)5-1 @ 1.45% ( 0.01)5-0 @ 1.17% ( 0.01)Other @ 4.21% Total : 56.64% | 1-1 @ 9.35% ( -0.04) 2-2 @ 6.01% ( 0.01)0-0 @ 3.64% ( -0.03)3-3 @ 1.72% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.31% Total : 21.02% | 1-2 @ 5.79% ( -0) 0-1 @ 4.51% ( -0.03)0-2 @ 2.79% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 2.48% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 2.39% ( 0)0-3 @ 1.15% ( -0)Other @ 3.23% Total : 22.34% |
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