SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PEC Zwolle win with a probability of 38.78%. A win for Heracles had a probability of 37.81% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a PEC Zwolle win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.55%) and 0-2 (5.29%). The likeliest Heracles win was 2-1 (8.29%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.42%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that PEC Zwolle would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Heracles | Draw | PEC Zwolle |
37.81% ( -0.02) | 23.41% ( 0) | 38.78% ( 0.02) |
| Both teams to score 63.75% ( -0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 62.09% ( -0.01) | 37.91% ( 0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 39.83% ( -0.01) | 60.17% ( 0.01) |
| Heracles Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.62% ( -0.01) | 20.38% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 47.2% ( -0.02) | 52.8% ( 0.02) |
| PEC Zwolle Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.08% ( 0.01) | 19.92% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 47.94% ( 0.01) | 52.06% ( -0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| Heracles | Draw | PEC Zwolle |
| 2-1 @ 8.29% ( -0) 1-0 @ 6.46% 2-0 @ 5.14% ( -0)3-1 @ 4.39% ( -0)3-2 @ 3.54% ( -0)3-0 @ 2.72% ( -0)4-1 @ 1.75% ( -0)4-2 @ 1.41% ( -0)4-0 @ 1.08% ( -0)Other @ 3.03% Total : 37.81% | 1-1 @ 10.42% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 6.68% ( -0)0-0 @ 4.06% ( 0)3-3 @ 1.91% Other @ 0.34% Total : 23.41% | 1-2 @ 8.41% ( 0) 0-1 @ 6.55% ( 0)0-2 @ 5.29% ( 0)1-3 @ 4.52% ( 0)2-3 @ 3.6% 0-3 @ 2.84% ( 0)1-4 @ 1.82% ( 0)2-4 @ 1.45% 0-4 @ 1.15% ( 0)Other @ 3.17% Total : 38.78% |
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