Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PEC Zwolle win with a probability of 50.16%. A win for NAC Breda had a probability of 25.68% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a PEC Zwolle win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.6%) and 0-2 (8.47%). The likeliest NAC Breda win was 1-0 (6.8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.42%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that PEC Zwolle would win this match.
-0.01) 
0.04) 
