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Eerste Divisie | Gameweek 33
Apr 12, 2021 at 7pm UK
De Geusselt

MVV
2 - 4
Roda JC

Deom (12'), Mickels (19')
Soumaoro (41'), Blummel (66'), Deom (71'), Kostons (76')
Van Acker (50')
FT(HT: 2-3)
Pflucke (23'), Jensen (34', 62'), Serrarens (42')
Bouchouari (11')
Coverage of the Eerste Divisie clash between MVV Maastricht and Roda JC.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Roda JC win with a probability of 43.75%. A win for MVV Maastricht had a probability of 32.57% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Roda JC win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.6%) and 0-2 (6.37%). The likeliest MVV Maastricht win was 2-1 (7.64%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.77%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 1.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Roda JC would win this match.

Result
MVV MaastrichtDrawRoda JC
32.57%23.67%43.75%
Both teams to score 61.57%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.71%40.28%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.34%62.65%
MVV Maastricht Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.76%24.24%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.4%58.59%
Roda JC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.27%18.72%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.9%50.09%
Score Analysis
    MVV Maastricht 32.57%
    Roda JC 43.75%
    Draw 23.67%
MVV MaastrichtDrawRoda JC
2-1 @ 7.64%
1-0 @ 6.43%
2-0 @ 4.56%
3-1 @ 3.61%
3-2 @ 3.02%
3-0 @ 2.15%
4-1 @ 1.28%
4-2 @ 1.07%
Other @ 2.82%
Total : 32.57%
1-1 @ 10.77%
2-2 @ 6.4%
0-0 @ 4.54%
3-3 @ 1.69%
Other @ 0.28%
Total : 23.67%
1-2 @ 9.03%
0-1 @ 7.6%
0-2 @ 6.37%
1-3 @ 5.04%
2-3 @ 3.57%
0-3 @ 3.56%
1-4 @ 2.11%
2-4 @ 1.5%
0-4 @ 1.49%
Other @ 3.48%
Total : 43.75%

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