Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Roda JC win with a probability of 55.33%. A win for Jong PSV had a probability of 23.59% and a draw had a probability of 21.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Roda JC win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.37%) and 1-0 (7.1%). The likeliest Jong PSV win was 1-2 (5.99%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.22%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 1.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Roda JC would win this match.
