Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a SBV Excelsior win with a probability of 54.52%. A win for Helmond Sport had a probability of 23.22% and a draw had a probability of 22.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a SBV Excelsior win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.76%) and 0-2 (8.36%). The likeliest Helmond Sport win was 2-1 (6.03%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.27%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 6% likelihood.
