Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Den Bosch win with a probability of 41.99%. A win for SBV Excelsior had a probability of 35.5% and a draw had a probability of 22.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Den Bosch win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (5.87%) and 2-0 (5.24%). The likeliest SBV Excelsior win was 1-2 (7.79%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.56%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood.
