Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Telstar win with a probability of 57.01%. A draw had a probability of 22% and a win for Helmond Sport had a probability of 20.97%.
The most likely scoreline for a Telstar win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.5%) and 2-0 (9.15%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.28%), while for a Helmond Sport win it was 1-2 (5.57%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Telstar would win this match.