Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Telstar win with a probability of 45.9%. A win for Jong AZ had a probability of 30.48% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Telstar win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.99%) and 2-0 (6.83%). The likeliest Jong AZ win was 1-2 (7.32%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.81%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Telstar would win this match.
