Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Helmond Sport win with a probability of 44.74%. A win for Jong AZ had a probability of 31.54% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Helmond Sport win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.86%) and 2-0 (6.62%). The likeliest Jong AZ win was 1-2 (7.49%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.84%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood.
