Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a MVV Maastricht win with a probability of 38.91%. A win for Telstar had a probability of 36.95% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a MVV Maastricht win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.42%) and 2-0 (5.71%). The likeliest Telstar win was 1-2 (8.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.08%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that MVV Maastricht would win this match.