SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Telstar win with a probability of 53.56%. A win for Jong FC Utrecht had a probability of 24.49% and a draw had a probability of 21.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Telstar win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.84%) and 2-0 (7.67%). The likeliest Jong FC Utrecht win was 1-2 (6.23%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.89%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Telstar | Draw | Jong FC Utrecht |
| 53.56% | 21.95% | 24.49% |
| Both teams to score 61.51% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 62.34% | 37.66% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 40.1% | 59.9% |
| Telstar Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.84% | 14.15% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 58.17% | 41.83% |
| Jong FC Utrecht Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.65% | 28.34% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 35.92% | 64.08% |
| Score Analysis |
| Telstar | Draw | Jong FC Utrecht |
| 2-1 @ 9.67% 1-0 @ 7.84% 2-0 @ 7.67% 3-1 @ 6.3% 3-0 @ 5% 3-2 @ 3.97% 4-1 @ 3.08% 4-0 @ 2.44% 4-2 @ 1.94% 5-1 @ 1.2% 5-0 @ 0.96% Other @ 3.49% Total : 53.56% | 1-1 @ 9.89% 2-2 @ 6.09% 0-0 @ 4.01% 3-3 @ 1.67% Other @ 0.28% Total : 21.95% | 1-2 @ 6.23% 0-1 @ 5.06% 0-2 @ 3.19% 1-3 @ 2.62% 2-3 @ 2.56% 0-3 @ 1.34% Other @ 3.49% Total : 24.49% |
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