Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Telstar win with a probability of 53.56%. A win for Jong FC Utrecht had a probability of 24.49% and a draw had a probability of 21.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Telstar win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.84%) and 2-0 (7.67%). The likeliest Jong FC Utrecht win was 1-2 (6.23%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.89%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood.
