Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cambuur win with a probability of 67.5%. A draw had a probability of 17.7% and a win for Telstar had a probability of 14.82%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cambuur win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.02%) and 3-1 (7.73%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.87%), while for a Telstar win it was 1-2 (4.17%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cambuur would win this match.