SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vitesse win with a probability of 51.57%. A win for FC Eindhoven had a probability of 25.69% and a draw had a probability of 22.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vitesse win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.37%) and 2-0 (7.74%). The likeliest FC Eindhoven win was 1-2 (6.49%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.42%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Vitesse | Draw | FC Eindhoven |
51.57% ( -0.34) | 22.74% ( 0.11) | 25.69% ( 0.23) |
| Both teams to score 60.02% ( -0.13) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 59.79% ( -0.28) | 40.2% ( 0.28) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 37.42% ( -0.29) | 62.58% ( 0.29) |
| Vitesse Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.28% ( -0.22) | 15.72% ( 0.22) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 55.19% ( -0.41) | 44.8% ( 0.41) |
| FC Eindhoven Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.21% ( 0.03) | 28.78% ( -0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.37% ( 0.03) | 64.63% ( -0.03) |
| Score Analysis |
| Vitesse | Draw | FC Eindhoven |
| 2-1 @ 9.65% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 8.37% ( 0.05)2-0 @ 7.74% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 5.95% ( -0.05)3-0 @ 4.78% ( -0.05)3-2 @ 3.71% ( -0.03)4-1 @ 2.75% ( -0.05)4-0 @ 2.21% ( -0.04)4-2 @ 1.71% ( -0.03)5-1 @ 1.02% ( -0.02)Other @ 3.68% Total : 51.57% | 1-1 @ 10.42% ( 0.07) 2-2 @ 6.01% ( -0)0-0 @ 4.52% ( 0.06)3-3 @ 1.54% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.24% Total : 22.73% | 1-2 @ 6.49% ( 0.05) 0-1 @ 5.63% ( 0.08)0-2 @ 3.51% ( 0.05)1-3 @ 2.7% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 2.49% ( 0)0-3 @ 1.46% ( 0.02)Other @ 3.41% Total : 25.69% |
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