SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a VVV-Venlo win with a probability of 46.66%. A win for Vitesse had a probability of 31.54% and a draw had a probability of 21.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a VVV-Venlo win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (5.73%) and 1-0 (5.7%). The likeliest Vitesse win was 1-2 (7.13%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.02%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| VVV-Venlo | Draw | Vitesse |
46.66% ( 0.04) | 21.8% ( -0.02) | 31.54% ( -0.02) |
| Both teams to score 68.14% ( 0.06) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 68.52% ( 0.08) | 31.48% ( -0.08) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 47.05% ( 0.09) | 52.95% ( -0.09) |
| VVV-Venlo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.81% ( 0.04) | 14.19% ( -0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 58.1% ( 0.08) | 41.9% ( -0.08) |
| Vitesse Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.41% ( 0.03) | 20.59% ( -0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.87% ( 0.04) | 53.12% ( -0.04) |
| Score Analysis |
| VVV-Venlo | Draw | Vitesse |
| 2-1 @ 8.8% ( -0) 3-1 @ 5.73% ( 0.01)1-0 @ 5.7% ( -0.02)2-0 @ 5.57% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 4.53% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 3.63% ( 0)4-1 @ 2.8% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 2.21% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 1.77% ( 0)4-3 @ 1.16% ( 0)5-1 @ 1.09% ( 0)Other @ 3.67% Total : 46.66% | 1-1 @ 9.02% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 6.96% ( 0)0-0 @ 2.92% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 2.39% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.52% Total : 21.8% | 1-2 @ 7.13% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 4.62% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 3.75% ( -0)2-3 @ 3.67% ( 0)0-2 @ 3.65% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 1.92% ( -0)1-4 @ 1.48% ( 0)2-4 @ 1.45% ( 0)3-4 @ 0.94% ( 0)Other @ 2.93% Total : 31.54% |
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