SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Helmond Sport win with a probability of 50.57%. A win for FC Eindhoven had a probability of 26.75% and a draw had a probability of 22.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Helmond Sport win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.94%) and 2-0 (7.37%). The likeliest FC Eindhoven win was 1-2 (6.66%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.28%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Helmond Sport would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Helmond Sport | Draw | FC Eindhoven |
50.57% ( 0.59) | 22.68% ( 0.04) | 26.75% ( -0.62) |
| Both teams to score 61.27% ( -0.7) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 60.98% ( -0.69) | 39.01% ( 0.69) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 38.66% ( -0.72) | 61.33% ( 0.73) |
| Helmond Sport Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.37% ( -0.04) | 15.63% ( 0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 55.36% ( -0.08) | 44.64% ( 0.09) |
| FC Eindhoven Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.62% ( -0.79) | 27.38% ( 0.8) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.16% ( -1.04) | 62.84% ( 1.05) |
| Score Analysis |
| Helmond Sport | Draw | FC Eindhoven |
| 2-1 @ 9.55% ( 0.06) 1-0 @ 7.94% ( 0.24)2-0 @ 7.37% ( 0.21)3-1 @ 5.91% ( 0.03)3-0 @ 4.56% ( 0.12)3-2 @ 3.83% ( -0.07)4-1 @ 2.74% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 2.12% ( 0.05)4-2 @ 1.78% ( -0.03)5-1 @ 1.02% ( 0)Other @ 3.78% Total : 50.57% | 1-1 @ 10.28% ( 0.08) 2-2 @ 6.18% ( -0.1)0-0 @ 4.28% ( 0.14)3-3 @ 1.65% ( -0.07)Other @ 0.27% Total : 22.67% | 1-2 @ 6.66% ( -0.1) 0-1 @ 5.54% ( 0.05)0-2 @ 3.59% ( -0.04)1-3 @ 2.88% ( -0.11)2-3 @ 2.67% ( -0.1)0-3 @ 1.55% ( -0.06)1-4 @ 0.93% ( -0.06)Other @ 2.92% Total : 26.75% |
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