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Eerste Divisie | Gameweek 36
Apr 30, 2021 at 7pm UK
Yanmar Stadion

Almere City
1 - 0
Jong Ajax

Yeboah (75')
Tunga (39'), Woud (45+1'), Hammouti (71'), Lesquoy (83')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Hansen (45+1'), Fitz-Jim (66'), Regeer (87')
Fitz-Jim (90+1')
Coverage of the Eerste Divisie clash between Almere City and Jong Ajax.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Almere City win with a probability of 52.15%. A win for Jong Ajax had a probability of 25.95% and a draw had a probability of 21.9%.

The most likely scoreline for an Almere City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.26%) and 2-0 (7.13%). The likeliest Jong Ajax win was 1-2 (6.46%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.68%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Almere City would win this match.

Result
Almere CityDrawJong Ajax
52.15%21.9%25.95%
Both teams to score 63.32%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
64.01%35.99%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
41.92%58.09%
Almere City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.98%14.03%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
58.42%41.58%
Jong Ajax Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.65%26.35%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.51%61.5%
Score Analysis
    Almere City 52.15%
    Jong Ajax 25.95%
    Draw 21.9%
Almere CityDrawJong Ajax
2-1 @ 9.51%
1-0 @ 7.26%
2-0 @ 7.13%
3-1 @ 6.23%
3-0 @ 4.67%
3-2 @ 4.15%
4-1 @ 3.06%
4-0 @ 2.29%
4-2 @ 2.04%
5-1 @ 1.2%
4-3 @ 0.91%
5-0 @ 0.9%
Other @ 2.8%
Total : 52.15%
1-1 @ 9.68%
2-2 @ 6.34%
0-0 @ 3.7%
3-3 @ 1.85%
Other @ 0.34%
Total : 21.9%
1-2 @ 6.46%
0-1 @ 4.93%
0-2 @ 3.29%
1-3 @ 2.87%
2-3 @ 2.82%
0-3 @ 1.46%
1-4 @ 0.96%
2-4 @ 0.94%
Other @ 2.23%
Total : 25.95%

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