Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a De Graafschap win with a probability of 54.51%. A win for Almere City had a probability of 23.9% and a draw had a probability of 21.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a De Graafschap win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.64%) and 1-0 (7.63%). The likeliest Almere City win was 1-2 (6.1%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.65%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood.
