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Eredivisie | Gameweek 33
May 13, 2021 at 1.30pm UK
Amsterdam Arena
V

Ajax
3 - 1
VVV-Venlo

Rensch (10'), Haller (57'), Kudus (77')
Martinez (49')
Taylor (53')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajax win with a probability of 90.2%. A draw had a probability of 6.8% and a win for VVV-Venlo had a probability of 3.03%.

The most likely scoreline for an Ajax win was 3-0 with a probability of 10.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 4-0 (10.05%) and 2-0 (8.63%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (3.05%), while for a VVV-Venlo win it was 1-2 (1.01%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ajax would win this match.

Result
AjaxDrawVVV-Venlo
90.2%6.78%3.03%
Both teams to score 47.18%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
81.38%18.63%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
63.85%36.15%
Ajax Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
97.61%2.39%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
88.67%11.33%
VVV-Venlo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
48.34%51.66%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
14.22%85.78%
Score Analysis
    Ajax 90.18%
    VVV-Venlo 3.03%
    Draw 6.78%
AjaxDrawVVV-Venlo
3-0 @ 10.75%
4-0 @ 10.05%
2-0 @ 8.63%
5-0 @ 7.52%
3-1 @ 7.11%
4-1 @ 6.64%
2-1 @ 5.7%
5-1 @ 4.97%
6-0 @ 4.68%
1-0 @ 4.62%
6-1 @ 3.09%
7-0 @ 2.5%
3-2 @ 2.35%
4-2 @ 2.19%
7-1 @ 1.65%
5-2 @ 1.64%
8-0 @ 1.17%
6-2 @ 1.02%
Other @ 3.89%
Total : 90.18%
1-1 @ 3.05%
2-2 @ 1.88%
0-0 @ 1.24%
Other @ 0.61%
Total : 6.78%
1-2 @ 1.01%
Other @ 2.02%
Total : 3.03%

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