Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stoke City win with a probability of 46.5%. A draw had a probability of 26.8% and a win for Bristol City had a probability of 26.72%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stoke City win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.96%) and 2-0 (8.91%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.63%), while for a Bristol City win it was 0-1 (8.91%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood.
