Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bristol City win with a probability of 37.71%. A win for Stoke City had a probability of 36.09% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bristol City win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.3%) and 2-0 (6.4%). The likeliest Stoke City win was 0-1 (9.35%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.45%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.5% likelihood.
