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BA
EFL Cup | First Round
Aug 11, 2021 at 7.45pm UK
Pirelli Stadium
OU

Burton Albion
1 - 1
Oxford Utd

Oxford Utd win 4-2 on penalties
Mousinho (90+6' og.)
FT
(aet)
Holland (85')
Bodin (77')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Oxford United win with a probability of 49.16%. A win for Burton Albion had a probability of 26.08% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Oxford United win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.49%) and 0-2 (8.58%). The likeliest Burton Albion win was 1-0 (7.29%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.76%).

Result
Burton AlbionDrawOxford United
26.08%24.77%49.16%
Both teams to score 53.57%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.1%48.9%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.01%70.99%
Burton Albion Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.9%33.1%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.3%69.69%
Oxford United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.08%19.92%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.94%52.06%
Score Analysis
    Burton Albion 26.08%
    Oxford United 49.15%
    Draw 24.76%
Burton AlbionDrawOxford United
1-0 @ 7.29%
2-1 @ 6.5%
2-0 @ 4.03%
3-1 @ 2.4%
3-2 @ 1.93%
3-0 @ 1.49%
Other @ 2.44%
Total : 26.08%
1-1 @ 11.76%
0-0 @ 6.59%
2-2 @ 5.25%
3-3 @ 1.04%
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 24.76%
0-1 @ 10.63%
1-2 @ 9.49%
0-2 @ 8.58%
1-3 @ 5.1%
0-3 @ 4.62%
2-3 @ 2.82%
1-4 @ 2.06%
0-4 @ 1.86%
2-4 @ 1.14%
Other @ 2.85%
Total : 49.15%

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