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League One | Gameweek 38
Apr 27, 2021 at 7pm UK
Pirelli Stadium
FT

Burton Albion
5 - 2
Fleetwood

Akins (35'), Powell (39'), Hamer (73'), Hemmings (85', 90+5')
Earl (27'), Hemmings (74'), Taylor (78')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Finley (62'), Rossiter (90+2')
Biggins (45+4')
Coverage of the League One clash between Burton Albion and Fleetwood Town.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fleetwood Town win with a probability of 36.72%. A win for Burton Albion had a probability of 35.1% and a draw had a probability of 28.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fleetwood Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.79%) and 0-2 (6.8%). The likeliest Burton Albion win was 1-0 (11.2%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.21%). The actual scoreline of 5-2 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood.

Result
Burton AlbionDrawFleetwood Town
35.1%28.18%36.72%
Both teams to score 47.25%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
41.08%58.92%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.6%79.4%
Burton Albion Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.23%31.78%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.8%68.2%
Fleetwood Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.26%30.75%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.99%67.01%
Score Analysis
    Burton Albion 35.1%
    Fleetwood Town 36.72%
    Draw 28.18%
Burton AlbionDrawFleetwood Town
1-0 @ 11.2%
2-1 @ 7.57%
2-0 @ 6.42%
3-1 @ 2.89%
3-0 @ 2.45%
3-2 @ 1.71%
Other @ 2.85%
Total : 35.1%
1-1 @ 13.21%
0-0 @ 9.77%
2-2 @ 4.47%
Other @ 0.73%
Total : 28.18%
0-1 @ 11.52%
1-2 @ 7.79%
0-2 @ 6.8%
1-3 @ 3.06%
0-3 @ 2.67%
2-3 @ 1.76%
1-4 @ 0.9%
Other @ 2.22%
Total : 36.72%

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