We expect Tuesday's contest to be a closely-fought encounter, but we think that Cardiff's championship quality will help them claim a narrow victory over Portsmouth. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portsmouth win with a probability of 42%. A win for Cardiff City had a probability of 32.69% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Portsmouth win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.89%) and 0-2 (6.94%). The likeliest Cardiff City win was 1-0 (8.06%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.97%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Portsmouth would win this match.

Result
Cardiff City	Draw	Portsmouth
32.69% ( -0.02)	25.31% ( 0)	42% ( 0.02)

Both teams to score 55.85% (

-0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

52.22% (

-0.01)

47.78% (

0.01)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

30.03% (

-0.01)

69.97% (

0.01)

Cardiff City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.2% (

-0.01)

27.8% (

0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.62% (

-0.02)

63.38% (

0.02)

Portsmouth Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.34% (

0.01)

22.66% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

43.71% (

0.01)

56.29% (

-0.01)

Score Analysis

Cardiff City 32.69%

Portsmouth 42%

Draw 25.31%

Cardiff City	Draw	Portsmouth
1-0 @ 8.06% ( -0) 2-1 @ 7.66% ( -0) 2-0 @ 5.16% ( -0) 3-1 @ 3.27% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.43% ( -0) 3-0 @ 2.2% ( -0) 4-1 @ 1.05% ( -0) Other @ 2.85% Total : 32.69%	1-1 @ 11.97% 0-0 @ 6.3% ( 0) 2-2 @ 5.69% ( -0) 3-3 @ 1.2% Other @ 0.16% Total : 25.31%	0-1 @ 9.35% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 8.89% ( 0) 0-2 @ 6.94% ( 0) 1-3 @ 4.4% ( 0) 0-3 @ 3.44% ( 0) 2-3 @ 2.82% 1-4 @ 1.63% ( 0) 0-4 @ 1.28% ( 0) 2-4 @ 1.05% Other @ 2.22% Total : 42%