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EFL Cup | First Round
Aug 9, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
Cardiff City Stadium
P

Cardiff
0 - 3
Portsmouth

FT(HT: 0-0)
Pigott (58'), Curtis (68' pen.), Bishop (72')
Mingi (58')

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Cardiff City 1-0 Portsmouth

We expect Tuesday's contest to be a closely-fought encounter, but we think that Cardiff's championship quality will help them claim a narrow victory over Portsmouth. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portsmouth win with a probability of 42%. A win for Cardiff City had a probability of 32.69% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Portsmouth win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.89%) and 0-2 (6.94%). The likeliest Cardiff City win was 1-0 (8.06%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.97%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Portsmouth would win this match.

Result
Cardiff CityDrawPortsmouth
32.69% (-0.018999999999998 -0.02) 25.31% (0.0019999999999989 0) 42% (0.018999999999998 0.02)
Both teams to score 55.85% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.22% (-0.0059999999999931 -0.01)47.78% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.03% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)69.97% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Cardiff City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.2% (-0.013000000000005 -0.01)27.8% (0.017000000000003 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.62% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)63.38% (0.022999999999996 0.02)
Portsmouth Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.34% (0.0080000000000098 0.01)22.66% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.71% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)56.29% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Cardiff City 32.69%
    Portsmouth 42%
    Draw 25.31%
Cardiff CityDrawPortsmouth
1-0 @ 8.06% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
2-1 @ 7.66% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-0 @ 5.16% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-1 @ 3.27% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
3-2 @ 2.43% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
3-0 @ 2.2% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
4-1 @ 1.05% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 2.85%
Total : 32.69%
1-1 @ 11.97%
0-0 @ 6.3% (0.0019999999999998 0)
2-2 @ 5.69% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-3 @ 1.2%
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 25.31%
0-1 @ 9.35% (0.0050000000000008 0.01)
1-2 @ 8.89% (0.0020000000000007 0)
0-2 @ 6.94% (0.0049999999999999 0)
1-3 @ 4.4% (0.00099999999999945 0)
0-3 @ 3.44% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-3 @ 2.82%
1-4 @ 1.63% (0.0010000000000001 0)
0-4 @ 1.28% (0.00099999999999989 0)
2-4 @ 1.05%
Other @ 2.22%
Total : 42%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Reading 2-1 Cardiff
Saturday, August 6 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Cardiff 1-0 Norwich
Saturday, July 30 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Swindon 2-4 Cardiff
Saturday, July 23 at 3pm in Club Friendlies 1
Last Game: Shrewsbury 0-0 Cardiff
Tuesday, July 19 at 8pm in Club Friendlies 1
Last Game: Cheltenham 1-2 Cardiff
Saturday, July 16 at 3pm in Club Friendlies 1
Last Game: Cardiff 2-0 Newport
Tuesday, July 12 at 6.30pm in Club Friendlies 1
Last Game: Portsmouth 0-0 Lincoln
Saturday, August 6 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Sheff Weds 3-3 Portsmouth
Saturday, July 30 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Portsmouth 0-2 Coventry
Saturday, July 23 at 3pm in Club Friendlies 1
Last Game: Bristol City 0-0 Portsmouth
Tuesday, July 12 at 2pm in Club Friendlies 1
Last Game: Sheff Weds 4-1 Portsmouth
Saturday, April 30 at 12.30pm in League One
Last Game: Portsmouth 3-2 Wigan
Tuesday, April 26 at 7.45pm in League One


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