Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sheffield Wednesday win with a probability of 63%. A draw had a probability of 21.4% and a win for Portsmouth had a probability of 15.58%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sheffield Wednesday win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.75%) and 2-1 (9.79%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.18%), while for a Portsmouth win it was 0-1 (5.3%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sheffield Wednesday would win this match.
