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CC
EFL Cup | First Round
Aug 10, 2021 at 7pm UK
Cardiff City Stadium
SU

Cardiff
3 - 2
Sutton

Watkins (44', 50'), Murphy (84')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Wilson (4'), Rowe (90')
Milsom (21'), Eastmond (55')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cardiff City win with a probability of 44.37%. A win for Sutton United had a probability of 30.43% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cardiff City win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.12%) and 2-0 (7.46%). The likeliest Sutton United win was 0-1 (7.81%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.93%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cardiff City would win this match.

Result
Cardiff CityDrawSutton United
44.37%25.2%30.43%
Both teams to score 55.24%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.86%48.14%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.7%70.3%
Cardiff City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.31%21.69%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.16%54.84%
Sutton United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.54%29.46%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.54%65.46%
Score Analysis
    Cardiff City 44.37%
    Sutton United 30.43%
    Draw 25.2%
Cardiff CityDrawSutton United
1-0 @ 9.77%
2-1 @ 9.12%
2-0 @ 7.46%
3-1 @ 4.65%
3-0 @ 3.8%
3-2 @ 2.84%
4-1 @ 1.78%
4-0 @ 1.45%
4-2 @ 1.09%
Other @ 2.42%
Total : 44.37%
1-1 @ 11.93%
0-0 @ 6.39%
2-2 @ 5.57%
3-3 @ 1.16%
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 25.2%
0-1 @ 7.81%
1-2 @ 7.29%
0-2 @ 4.77%
1-3 @ 2.97%
2-3 @ 2.27%
0-3 @ 1.94%
1-4 @ 0.91%
Other @ 2.46%
Total : 30.43%

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