SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Coventry City win with a probability of 44.5%. A draw had a probability of 28% and a win for Northampton Town had a probability of 27.46%.
The most likely scoreline for a Coventry City win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.83%) and 2-1 (8.5%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13%), while for a Northampton Town win it was 0-1 (9.94%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Coventry City | Draw | Northampton Town |
| 44.5% | 28.04% | 27.46% |
| Both teams to score 45.1% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 39.61% | 60.39% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 19.47% | 80.53% |
| Coventry City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.95% | 27.04% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 37.59% | 62.41% |
| Northampton Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.82% | 38.18% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 25.05% | 74.94% |
| Score Analysis |
| Coventry City | Draw | Northampton Town |
| 1-0 @ 13.5% 2-0 @ 8.83% 2-1 @ 8.5% 3-0 @ 3.85% 3-1 @ 3.71% 3-2 @ 1.78% 4-0 @ 1.26% 4-1 @ 1.21% Other @ 1.86% Total : 44.5% | 1-1 @ 13% 0-0 @ 10.32% 2-2 @ 4.09% Other @ 0.62% Total : 28.03% | 0-1 @ 9.94% 1-2 @ 6.26% 0-2 @ 4.79% 1-3 @ 2.01% 0-3 @ 1.54% 2-3 @ 1.31% Other @ 1.62% Total : 27.46% |
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