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EFL Cup | First Round
Aug 11, 2021 at 7.45pm UK
Ricoh Arena
NT

Coventry
1 - 2
Northampton

Walker (13')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Etete (52', 70')
Nelson (36')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Coventry City win with a probability of 44.5%. A draw had a probability of 28% and a win for Northampton Town had a probability of 27.46%.

The most likely scoreline for a Coventry City win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.83%) and 2-1 (8.5%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13%), while for a Northampton Town win it was 0-1 (9.94%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood.

Result
Coventry CityDrawNorthampton Town
44.5%28.04%27.46%
Both teams to score 45.1%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
39.61%60.39%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
19.47%80.53%
Coventry City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.95%27.04%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.59%62.41%
Northampton Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.82%38.18%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.05%74.94%
Score Analysis
    Coventry City 44.5%
    Northampton Town 27.46%
    Draw 28.03%
Coventry CityDrawNorthampton Town
1-0 @ 13.5%
2-0 @ 8.83%
2-1 @ 8.5%
3-0 @ 3.85%
3-1 @ 3.71%
3-2 @ 1.78%
4-0 @ 1.26%
4-1 @ 1.21%
Other @ 1.86%
Total : 44.5%
1-1 @ 13%
0-0 @ 10.32%
2-2 @ 4.09%
Other @ 0.62%
Total : 28.03%
0-1 @ 9.94%
1-2 @ 6.26%
0-2 @ 4.79%
1-3 @ 2.01%
0-3 @ 1.54%
2-3 @ 1.31%
Other @ 1.62%
Total : 27.46%

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