Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Salford City win with a probability of 45.17%. A draw had a probability of 29.1% and a win for Derby County had a probability of 25.73%.

The most likely scoreline for a Salford City win was 0-1 with a probability of 15.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.41%) and 1-2 (8.14%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.05%), while for a Derby County win it was 1-0 (10.45%).

Result
Derby County	Draw	Salford City
25.73%	29.11%	45.17%

Both teams to score 41.3%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

35.41%

64.59%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

16.4%

83.6%

Derby County Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

57.92%

42.08%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

21.5%

78.5%

Salford City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.29%

28.71%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.47%

64.53%

Score Analysis

Derby County 25.72%

Salford City 45.16%

Draw 29.1%

Derby County	Draw	Salford City
1-0 @ 10.45% 2-1 @ 5.65% 2-0 @ 4.53% 3-1 @ 1.63% 3-0 @ 1.31% 3-2 @ 1.02% Other @ 1.14% Total : 25.72%	1-1 @ 13.05% 0-0 @ 12.07% 2-2 @ 3.53% Other @ 0.45% Total : 29.1%	0-1 @ 15.07% 0-2 @ 9.41% 1-2 @ 8.14% 0-3 @ 3.91% 1-3 @ 3.39% 2-3 @ 1.47% 0-4 @ 1.22% 1-4 @ 1.06% Other @ 1.49% Total : 45.16%