SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Huddersfield Town win with a probability of 39.75%. A win for Derby County had a probability of 32.3% and a draw had a probability of 27.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Huddersfield Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.19%) and 0-2 (7.47%). The likeliest Derby County win was 1-0 (10.51%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.12%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Derby County | Draw | Huddersfield Town |
| 32.3% | 27.95% | 39.75% |
| Both teams to score 47.46% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 41.55% | 58.44% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 20.96% | 79.04% |
| Derby County Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.58% | 33.42% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 29.95% | 70.05% |
| Huddersfield Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.29% | 28.71% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 35.46% | 64.54% |
| Score Analysis |
| Derby County | Draw | Huddersfield Town |
| 1-0 @ 10.51% 2-1 @ 7.19% 2-0 @ 5.76% 3-1 @ 2.63% 3-0 @ 2.11% 3-2 @ 1.64% Other @ 2.46% Total : 32.3% | 1-1 @ 13.12% 0-0 @ 9.6% 2-2 @ 4.49% Other @ 0.74% Total : 27.95% | 0-1 @ 11.97% 1-2 @ 8.19% 0-2 @ 7.47% 1-3 @ 3.41% 0-3 @ 3.11% 2-3 @ 1.87% 1-4 @ 1.06% 0-4 @ 0.97% Other @ 1.7% Total : 39.74% |
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