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Championship | Gameweek 46
May 8, 2021 at 12.30pm UK
Pride Park Stadium
SW

Derby
3 - 3
Sheff Weds

Waghorn (49', 78' pen.), Roberts (52')
Kazim-Richards (60'), Jozwiak (76'), Ebosele (86')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Hutchinson (45+3'), Paterson (62'), Borner (69')
Bannan (45+1'), Dunkley (77'), Harris (90+5')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Derby County win with a probability of 41.39%. A win for Sheffield Wednesday had a probability of 30.75% and a draw had a probability of 27.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Derby County win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.36%) and 2-0 (7.87%). The likeliest Sheffield Wednesday win was 0-1 (10.21%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.07%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood.

Result
Derby CountyDrawSheffield Wednesday
41.39%27.86%30.75%
Both teams to score 47.22%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
41.49%58.52%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.91%79.09%
Derby County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.18%27.83%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.58%63.42%
Sheffield Wednesday Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.42%34.58%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.7%71.3%
Score Analysis
    Derby County 41.38%
    Sheffield Wednesday 30.75%
    Draw 27.86%
Derby CountyDrawSheffield Wednesday
1-0 @ 12.3%
2-1 @ 8.36%
2-0 @ 7.87%
3-1 @ 3.57%
3-0 @ 3.36%
3-2 @ 1.89%
4-1 @ 1.14%
4-0 @ 1.07%
Other @ 1.82%
Total : 41.38%
1-1 @ 13.07%
0-0 @ 9.62%
2-2 @ 4.44%
Other @ 0.73%
Total : 27.86%
0-1 @ 10.21%
1-2 @ 6.94%
0-2 @ 5.43%
1-3 @ 2.46%
0-3 @ 1.92%
2-3 @ 1.57%
Other @ 2.22%
Total : 30.75%

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