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EFL Cup | Fourth Round
Sep 30, 2020 at 7.45pm UK
Goodison Park
WH

Everton
4 - 1
West Ham

Calvert-Lewin (11', 78', 84'), Richarlison (56')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Snodgrass (46')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Everton win with a probability of 53.9%. A win for West Ham United had a probability of 23.53% and a draw had a probability of 22.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Everton win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.01%) and 2-0 (8.43%). The likeliest West Ham United win was 1-2 (6.09%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.47%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Everton would win this match.

Result
EvertonDrawWest Ham United
53.9%22.57%23.53%
Both teams to score 58.13%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.4%41.6%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36%64%
Everton Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.58%15.42%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.76%44.24%
West Ham United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.73%31.27%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.37%67.62%
Score Analysis
    Everton 53.9%
    West Ham United 23.53%
    Draw 22.56%
EvertonDrawWest Ham United
2-1 @ 9.8%
1-0 @ 9.01%
2-0 @ 8.43%
3-1 @ 6.11%
3-0 @ 5.25%
3-2 @ 3.55%
4-1 @ 2.85%
4-0 @ 2.46%
4-2 @ 1.66%
5-1 @ 1.07%
5-0 @ 0.92%
Other @ 2.8%
Total : 53.9%
1-1 @ 10.47%
2-2 @ 5.69%
0-0 @ 4.82%
3-3 @ 1.38%
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 22.56%
1-2 @ 6.09%
0-1 @ 5.6%
0-2 @ 3.26%
1-3 @ 2.36%
2-3 @ 2.21%
0-3 @ 1.26%
Other @ 2.75%
Total : 23.53%


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