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FT
EFL Cup | Third Round
Sep 23, 2020 at 7.45pm UK
Highbury Stadium
EL

Fleetwood
2 - 5
Everton

Duffy (48'), Camps (58')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Richarlison (22', 34'), Iwobi (49'), Bernard (73'), Kean (90+4')
Delph (26')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Everton win with a probability of 39.07%. A win for Fleetwood Town had a probability of 35.27% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Everton win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.53%) and 0-2 (6.46%). The likeliest Fleetwood Town win was 1-0 (8.65%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.15%). The actual scoreline of 2-5 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Everton would win this match.

Result
Fleetwood TownDrawEverton
35.27%25.65%39.07%
Both teams to score 55.32%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.27%48.73%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.16%70.84%
Fleetwood Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.32%26.67%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.08%61.92%
Everton Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.44%24.55%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.96%59.03%
Score Analysis
    Fleetwood Town 35.27%
    Everton 39.07%
    Draw 25.65%
Fleetwood TownDrawEverton
1-0 @ 8.65%
2-1 @ 8.03%
2-0 @ 5.72%
3-1 @ 3.54%
3-0 @ 2.52%
3-2 @ 2.48%
4-1 @ 1.17%
Other @ 3.16%
Total : 35.27%
1-1 @ 12.15%
0-0 @ 6.55%
2-2 @ 5.64%
3-3 @ 1.16%
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 25.65%
0-1 @ 9.2%
1-2 @ 8.53%
0-2 @ 6.46%
1-3 @ 4%
0-3 @ 3.02%
2-3 @ 2.64%
1-4 @ 1.4%
0-4 @ 1.06%
2-4 @ 0.93%
Other @ 1.84%
Total : 39.07%


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